Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.020043 0.022277 0.024510 0.026902 0.029388 0.031889 0.034591
2025-02-16 0.015749 0.019282 0.022946 0.026995 0.031319 0.035772 0.040683
2025-02-23 0.012713 0.017032 0.021656 0.026899 0.032612 0.038595 0.045286
2025-03-02 0.010316 0.015133 0.020455 0.026625 0.033465 0.040726 0.048933
2025-03-09 0.008487 0.013652 0.019535 0.026493 0.034323 0.042725 0.052306
2025-03-16 0.006674 0.011990 0.018255 0.025827 0.034475 0.043854 0.054637
2025-03-23 0.005542 0.011034 0.017706 0.025914 0.035397 0.045767 0.057761
2025-03-30 0.004352 0.009865 0.016812 0.025525 0.035719 0.046959 0.060042
2025-04-06 0.003207 0.008606 0.015714 0.024825 0.035626 0.047639 0.061707
2025-04-13 0.002056 0.007135 0.014240 0.023594 0.034856 0.047505 0.062422
2025-04-20 0.001663 0.006776 0.014176 0.024055 0.036040 0.049565 0.065566
2025-04-27 0.001076 0.005950 0.013429 0.023629 0.036146 0.050369 0.067276
2025-05-04 0.000441 0.004817 0.012267 0.022765 0.035859 0.050882 0.068856
2025-05-11 0.000164 0.004264 0.011912 0.022948 0.036869 0.052942 0.072253
2025-05-18 0.000006 0.003642 0.011386 0.022873 0.037542 0.054596 0.075176
2025-05-25 NaN 0.003007 0.010759 0.022619 0.037964 0.055931 0.077712
2025-06-01 NaN 0.002495 0.010258 0.022497 0.038521 0.057402 0.080381
2025-06-08 NaN 0.001860 0.009431 0.021875 0.038422 0.058072 0.082105
2025-06-15 NaN 0.001538 0.009125 0.021956 0.039187 0.059751 0.084977
2025-06-22 NaN 0.001122 0.008534 0.021594 0.039367 0.060714 0.087002
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000699 0.007777 0.020942 0.039146 0.061177 0.088427
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000281 0.006738 0.019797 0.038247 0.060795 0.088844
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000211 0.006730 0.020226 0.039399 0.062888 0.092149